Aglomerações, recessão e crescimento do emprego: uma análise para os municípios brasileirosS
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.54805/RCE.2527-1180.v2.n2.39Keywords:
aglomerações; recessão; crescimento do emprego.Abstract
O trabalho busca analisar se o impacto das crises econômicas sobre o crescimento do emprego, nos municípios brasileiros, é afetado pelo nível de aglomeração econômica. Para tanto, os municípios foram agrupados em diferentes níveis, de acordo com sua densidade populacional. Para a estimação, utilizou-se uma estratégia difference-in-differences com dados em painel para o período 2003-2011, tendo como referência a influência da crise ocorrida em 2008. Além disso, utilizaram-se controles associados a composição do mercado de trabalho, da indústria e da localização municipal. De maneira geral, os resultados indicam maior sensibilidade à crise nos municípios com baixa aglomeração ao utilizar como variável dependente o crescimento do emprego total. Para o crescimento do emprego na indústria de transformação os municípios com alta aglomeração apresentaram menor crescimento pós-crise.
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